Lately, I’ve been doing a lot of research on the 30 year fixed mortgage trying to better understand its mechanics and the benefits of paying it off early. What I’ve been trying to better understand are the early years of a 30 year fixed mortgage. Hate may be a strong word, but the more I try to understand the mechanics of a 30 year fixed mortgage, the more something just doesn’t sit right with me.
Even with a historically low interest rate of 4 percent, why does the majority of our payment in the first few years go towards interest? The answer is actually quite simple, but something still seems off.
Throughout this post we are going to primarily use a mortgage of $100,000 and interest rate of 4 percent on a 30 year fixed mortgage. I know that interest rates are higher today, but many of us were able to lock into rates at 4 percent or lower during the low interest rate environment.
During your first year on a 30 year fixed mortgage, nearly 70 percent of your mortgage payment of $477 will go to interest alone. Keep in mind this doesn’t include taxes or insurance, which are typically included as escrow in your mortgage payment as well.
Therefore, even in a period of historically low interest rates, we are still paying mostly interest for several years of a 30 year fixed mortgage. If you took out a loan today, it would take you until 2032 to reach the tipping point of paying more principal than interest in a month. You wouldn’t have half of your mortgage paid down until 2038. These numbers get worse at higher interest rates.
Even more eye opening, since so little of your initial mortgage payments are for the principal, it would take you nearly 7 years just to pay down the first $10,000 on a $100,000 mortgage at 4 percent!
If you don’t want to read through the rest of the article, the TL;DR (too long, didn’t read) is that the math still says to invest instead of pay off your mortgage. However, if you’re like me, paying more than 50 percent of my monthly payment to interest was unacceptable and I wanted to tip the scale as soon as possible. Below are a few additional thoughts.
Our First Mortgage Bill
My wife and I purchased our home in 2008. Yes, that 2008, in the midst of the financial crisis. I remember sitting back and watching interest rates go haywire. Right around the time we were looking to take out our 30 year loan, interest rates were approaching 7 percent.
We were able to hold off a bit and when the interest rate on a 30 year fixed mortgage dropped to 6 percent we locked it in. Within a five year period we refinanced twice. First to a 5 percent rate, then eventually to 4 percent. On the second refinance, we also increased the total amount of the original mortgage by about $25,000 as we lumped in our remaining student loans.
Five years after moving into our home we had refinanced twice, paid thousands of dollars in mortgage payments without building hardly any new equity, and then added tens of thousands of dollars in student loan debt during our final refinance.
We were making barely any progress. The balance on our mortgage after the second refinance was $123,000 in 2012. If we made minimum payments since taking out the loan in 2012, we’d still have $106,000 left on the mortgage today.
Is a Mortgage Compound or Simple Interest?
Thinking through this a bit more this raised an interesting question. Is interest on a mortgage compound or simple interest?
- Compound interest is the addition of interest to the principal sum of a loan or deposit, or in other words, interest on interest.
I’ll be honest, before doing some research on this article if you would have asked me this question I probably would have said compound interest. In fact, I even tweeted a few months ago how a mortgage was basically compound interest in reverse.
While it definitely feels like that when nearly 70 percent of your payments are going toward interest in year one, a mortgage is in fact simple interest usually calculated on a monthly basis. For example, the below table shows that interest is based on a simple calculation of the balance. Take the mortgage balance and multiply by 4 percent (then divide by 12) for the monthly total.
Interest and Principal Paid in Year one of a Fixed 30 Year Mortgage
The reason it takes so long to make progress paying down your mortgage is because your principal payment is spread out over such a long period of time. As you can see in the table above, when you are paying nearly $500 per month (not including taxes and insurance) it barely puts a dent in the initial principal. Therefore, the following year you’ll be paying nearly the same amount in interest.
Now once you get to the back end of your 30 year mortgage things start to look better. At this point you’re paying more principal than interest, which causes the interest you pay in the following year to decrease more significantly. As mentioned above, it takes almost 15 years with a 4 percent 30 year fixed mortgage to where more of your money goes to principal than interest payments.
How Long Do People Keep Their Mortgage?
What I wondered next is how many people actually make it through 15 years of a 30 year mortgage? A lot can happen in that 15 year span.
Many families will move to a new house and start over with a brand new 30 year mortgage, paying a high percentage of interest again for years. Some will refinance the mortgage in their current home. Others may have financial issues and go bankrupt or lose a home due to foreclosure.
Over the past several years, mortgage tenure has increased from about 6 years to 10 years. Locked into historically low interest rates people are less likely to refinance to a new mortgage. They may also not be able to afford to upgrade to a new home with a higher interest rate.
Regardless, if the average mortgage tenure is only 10 years, that means the average person isn’t getting to the 15 year tipping point where they finally start paying more principal than interest. Even the overachievers who pay their mortgage off early wouldn’t significantly increase this average.
The Case for a 15 Year Fixed Mortgage
I still remember receiving the bank statement after making our first mortgage payment. Our total mortgage payment was around $900, which also included putting money in escrow for insurance and taxes.
My jaw about hit the floor when I looked at the breakdown. It was roughly:
- $500 in interest
- $200 in property taxes
- $100 in insurance
- $100 in principal pay down
I had just made a $900 payment and barely a tenth went to building equity. I then pulled out the amortization schedule and was horrified to see that if we made minimal payments it would take us nearly 7 years to build $10,000 in equity. That was insane to me.
Two significant benefits to a 15 year mortgage
First, interest rates are usually nearly a full percentage point lower on a 15 year fixed mortgage compared to a 30 year fixed mortgage. Therefore, if we are assuming a 4 percent interest rate for the 30 year fixed mortgage, we can assume a 3 percent interest rate for a 15 year mortgage. As noted above, as of the publishing of this blog post in February 2019, mortgage rates are slightly higher and have been trending upwards.
Second, due to the lower interest rate and higher initial principal payments on a 15 year fixed mortgage, you won’t pay nearly as much in interest over the life of the loan. The extra money you pay every month on a 15 year fixed mortgage goes towards the principal which in turn reduces the amount of interest you pay the following month.
Let’s take a deeper look. The below table shows the first year of a 15 year fixed mortgage at a 3 percent interest rate.
Interest and Principal Paid in Year One of a Fixed 15 Year Mortgage
Immediately you can see how much more of your monthly payment goes directly to the principal. As a result of moving from a 30 year interest rate at 4 percent to a 15 year interest rate at 3 percent, your payment will increase from $477 per month to $690. Understandably, this increase of $213 may stretch someone’s budget. However, in the 15 year mortgage $441 dollars will go towards paying down principal right away, more than three times the amount of a 30 year mortgage.
Since mortgage interest is based on a simple interest calculation, this creates a snowball effect where you pay less and less interest every month. While the same happens with a 30 year fixed mortgage, it happens much faster with a 15 year mortgage.
Should You Invest Extra Money or Pay Off Your Mortgage Early?
The answer to this question is a personal decision. The math usually says to invest extra money in assets with a higher rate of return. However, there are many behavioral benefits to paying off your mortgage.
First of all, if you are in a position to make this decision, congratulations! This likely means that you are in a strong financial position. I would not recommend overpaying your mortgage unless you have all other consumer debt paid, three to six months of emergency savings, are investing 15 percent in tax advantaged accounts, and are saving for your children’s college funds (if applicable). If this all seems overwhelming, I suggest looking into Financial Peace University to take your first steps to build savings and reduce debt.
There are many in the personal finance community who believe that paying off a mortgage early is a terrible financial decision. They’ll say that interest rates are at historically low rates, and you can make a higher interest rate elsewhere. I’m not going to argue with this approach from a mathematical standpoint. However, my argument is if you plan to pay the minimum on your mortgage then do whatever you can to take out a 15 year fixed mortgage.
If we would have taken out a 15 year mortgage, I’m not sure if we would have aggressively paid down our mortgage like we did. With a 15 year fixed mortgage you can build equity much faster, plus take advantage of a lower interest rate.
I will say the one place where a 30 year mortgage may make sense is when you pay it off like a 15 year mortgage. Even though the interest rate will be higher, if you were to pay an extra $200 per payment, your paydown would act similar to a 15 year mortgage. The challenge here is it takes a lot of financial discipline to make payments on your 30 year fixed mortgage that would be similar to a 15 year mortgage.
Why I Hate the 30 Year Fixed Mortgage
To summarize this post, the reason why I hate the 30 year fixed mortgage is because so much money goes to interest in the first several years of the loan. Combine this with the fact that most people will only keep their 30 year mortgage for 6 to 10 years before refinancing, moving, defaulting, or any other reasons. During the first 10 years of a 30 year fixed mortgage, you will build up very little equity so many people start over with a new 30 year mortgage several times.
Something not discussed earlier is the relationship with longer loan durations and price. Longer loan durations may make homes and cars more affordable on a monthly basis in the short run; however, in the long run the lower monthly payments stretched out over a longer period of time usually results in higher overall prices. You can especially see this happening in the auto industry with loan duration increasing over the past decade now averaging almost seven years. Expect a future blog post at some point with further analysis on the relationship between longer loans and price.
Back on topic, the 15 year fixed mortgage comes at a higher monthly cost and may limit flexibility a bit but the benefits outweigh the 30 year fixed mortgage in almost every other aspect. Interest rates are lower, equity is built more rapidly, and you will pay off your loan much faster.
Over the life of a 30 year fixed mortgage at 4 percent you’ll pay $71,870 in total interest making minimum payments.
Over the life of a 15 year fixed mortgage at 3 percent you’ll pay $24,305 in total interest making minimum payments.
This point alone should make you hate the 30 year mortgage as much as I do. So whether you are in a position to make extra payments on your mortgage or not, you should strongly consider a 15 year fixed mortgage instead of the 30 year. If you do go with a 30 year mortgage, do your best to pay it off like a 15 year mortgage. At some point we can discuss adjustable rate mortgages as well.
Thanks for reading! I’d love to hear your thoughts in the comments below.
Also, if you’d like to help someone who is currently deciding between paying off the mortgage or invest, go visit my friend Chris at moneystir.com to vote and help him decide what to do!